KLSE Apr Performance

We are in the month of Apr. Global market has been trying to recover from the sell down since the beginning of the year. US market started the week with a narrowly mixed performance Monday, with many investors moving to the sidelines as they wait for quarterly profit reports.

Looking at the historical data from 1994 to 2008, there were 8 Apr months that showed a profit and 6 Apr months that ended with a loss for the KLSE index.

Entry Date	Entry Price	Exit Date	Exit Price	% Change
4/4/1994	958.68	5/4/1994	1040.44	8.53
4/4/1995	966.49	5/3/1995	944.55	-2.27
4/2/1996	1158.6	5/3/1996	1184.97	2.28
4/2/1997	1187.76	5/5/1997	1099.39	-7.44
4/2/1998	700.44	5/5/1998	627.56	-10.4
4/2/1999	529.09	5/4/1999	681.75	28.85
4/4/2000	966.65	5/3/2000	900.14	-6.88
4/3/2001	650.65	5/3/2001	615.98	-5.33
4/2/2002	756.91	5/3/2002	795.12	5.05
4/2/2003	626.69	5/5/2003	627.62	0.15
4/2/2004	886.94	5/6/2004	845.74	-4.65
4/4/2005	874.34	5/4/2005	895.5	2.42
4/4/2006	927.9	5/3/2006	950.99	2.49
4/3/2007	1247.41	5/4/2007	1346.37	7.93

So if you buy the KLSE index in the beginning of Apr and sell in the beginning of May, you will be able to win with a probability of 57%.